Prof. Dr. Bülent Güloğlu (Bölüm Başkanı)

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Ad: Prof. Dr. Bülent Güloğlu (Bölüm Başkanı)
Mezun Olunan Okul : Ph.D., Universite de Paris 12, Val de Marne
Ofis: E-202
Telefon: +90-212-2931300 (2029)
Email: guloglub@itu.edu.tr



Education

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA, Post-Doctoral Study, Department of Economics Agust 2012-

Universite de Paris 12, Val de Marne, France PH.D Applied Economics, November 2000.

Universite de Paris 12, Val de Marne, France M.Sc Applied Economics, September 1996.

Gazi University, Ankara, Turkey, B.A Econometrics, June 1993.

Academic Positions

Professor Istanbul Technical University, Department of Economics, Istanbul 2014-

Visiting Scholar University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Economics, 2012-2013

Associate Professor Pamukkale University, Department of Econometrics Denizli,2009-2012

Assistant Professor Pamukkale University, Department of Economics Denizli, 2005- 2008

Assistant Professor Adnan Menderes University, Department of Economics Aydın, 2003-2005.

Research Assistant Adnan Menderes University Department of Economics, Aydın, 2001-2002


Publications
Aydemir R., Güloğlu B., Sarıdoğan E.(2021) Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations among Foreign Exchange Rates and Bond Markets of Emerging Economies, Panoeconomicus, 68(1),99-127.

Güloğlu B. , Bayar G., Tokpunar S(2020). Effect of foreign trade on industrial employment: the case of Turkey, Applied Economics,52(55), 6075-6089

Çalışır F. Güven M., Güloğlu B.(2019) Assessing the effects of flight delays, distance, number of passengers, and seasonality on revenue, Kybernetes, 48,9,2138-2149

Soylu K. P., Güloğlu B(2019) Financial contagion and flight to quality between emerging markets and U.S. bond market, North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 50.

Güngör M. Güloğlu, B.(2019) "The Effects of Structural Shocks on Macroeconomic Fundamentals under Aggressive Monetary Policy: The Case of Turkey," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), , vol. 12(2), 7-21, December.

Kütük Y., Güloğlu B.(2019) Prediction of transition probabilities from unemployment to employment for turkey via machine learning and econometrics: a comparative study, Journal of Research in Economics  vol: 3 3, 58-75.

Güloğlu H., Güloğlu B., Güven M (2018) İİT Ülkeleri için İnsani Gelişme Endeksinin Belirleyicilerinin K-Ortalamalar Kümeleme Analizi, Eurasian Econometrics, Statistics&Emprical Economics Journal, 11, 67-77

Aydemir R. Seymour D. Guloglu B. (2017) An Empirical Analysis of Delays in Turkish Airlines Network, Journal of Air Transport Management, 65, 76-87

Budak A, Ustundag A, Guloglu B (2017) A Forecasting Approach for Truckload Spot Market Pricing, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 97,55-68

Aydemir R. Guloglu B.(2017) How Do Banks Determine Their Spreads Under Credit and Liquidity Risks During Business Cycles? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money. 46, 147-157

Güven M., Güloğlu B., Erdal F (2017) “Do Consumption Behaviors Converge? A Regional Demand Side Analysis of Convergence Clubs, Eurasian Business &Economics Journal, 11, 71-88

Aydemir R., Güloğlu B., Sarıdoğan E(2017) “The Effects of Volatility Changes in Exchange Rates and Interest Rates From Historical Shocks on the Non-Performing Loans in Turkish Economy”, Eurasian Econometrics, Statistics&Emprical Economics Journal, 8, 1-20

Güloğlu H., Sarıdoğan E., Güloğlu B(2017) Türkiye’de Katılım Ve Geleneksel Bankaların Risk Yönetimi Açısından Karşılaştırılması Kantil Var Yaklaşımı, Eurasian Business &Economics Journal,11,55-70

Guloglu B, Kaya P, Aydemir R (2016) “Volatility Transmission among Latin American Stock Markets under Structural Breaks” Physica A 462, 330-340.

Guloglu B, Bayar G (2016) “Sectoral exports dynamics of Turkey: Evidence from panel data estimators”, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development 25(7), 959-977

Güloğlu B., Uyar K. G.S, Uyar U (2016) “Dynamic Quantile Panel Data Analysis of Stock Returns Predictability” , International Journal of Economics and Finance, 8(2), 115-126.

Aydemir H. Yeşilyurt E., Güloğlu B., Küçükkaplan İ (2015) “The relationship between stock performance and the efficiency in Turkish banking industry”, Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 16 (2) 2015, 203-215

Güloğlu B. and İvrendi M., (2014) “The Effect of Monetary Shock on Exchange Rate Under High Inflation: The Case of Turkey”, Izmir Review of Social Sciences”, 2(1), 17- 40.

Yesilyurt F. Guloglu B, Yesilyurt E., Sezgin S. (2014) “The Determinants of Arms Production”, Defence and Peace Economics. vol 25 no:2, 205-211

Ivrendi M. Guloglu B.(2012) “Changes in Stock Price Volatility and Monetary Policy Regimes: Evidence from Asian Countries” Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2012, Volume 48, Supplement No. 4, pp. 54–70.

Guloglu B. Tekin R.B.Saridogan E.(2012) “Economic Determinants of Technological Progress in G7 Countries: A Re-Examination”, Economic letters, 116(3), 604-608.

Guloglu B. Tekin R.B.(2012) “A Panel Causality Analysis of the Relationship Among Research and Development, Innovatıon and Economic Growth in high-income OECD Countries”, EuroAsian Economic Review, 2(1), 32-47 2012

Guloglu B. Ispir S. and Okat D. (2011) Testing the Validity of Quasi PPP Hypothesis:Evidence From a Recent Panel Unit Root Test with Structural Breaks, Applied Economics Letters 18 (18) , 1817-1822.

Güloğlu B. İspir S. (2011) “Is natural rate of unemployment or hysteresis? Sectorspecific panel unit root test analysis for Turkey” Ege Academic Review 11 (2) ,205- 215,

Erdem E., Guloglu B., Nazlioglu S. (2009) “The Macroeconomy and Turkish Agricultural Trade Balance with the EU Countries: Panel ARDL Analysis” International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 4(1). 371-379

Güloğlu, B. and Orhan S. (2008) “The Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in Turkey. İktisat, İşletme ve Finans Dergisi, 23 (268), 94- 118

Güloğlu B. ve Akman A.(2007) “Türkiye’de Döviz Kuru Oynaklığının SWARCH yöntemi ile Analizi”, Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yaklaşımlar Dergisi, 44 (512), 43-51.

Bayri, O. and Güloğlu, B. (2005). “Integrations of Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets : The case of Turkey, EU and USA” İktisat, İşletme ve Finans Dergisi, 234,13-34

Güloğlu, B,(2003) “Financial Liberalisation and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach,” ISE Review, 7(27), 35-58 .

Conference Papers
Budak A., Üstündağ A., Güloğlu B. An Artificial Neural Network Model for Price Forecasting of the Highway Transportation 11th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Industrial Management, Valencia, 5th ,6th july 2017

Güloğlu B., Çalışır S., Somuncu T., Revisiting Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle Proc. International Conference On Economics ICE-TEA 2016, October 20-22, Bodrum, Turkey

Seyrek Ü. and Güloğlu B. Türkiye için Eşdeğerlik Ölçeğinin Hesaplanması ve Bir uygulama (Computing of an Equivalence Scale for Turkey and an Application), Proc. 12th International Symposium on Econometrics Operations Research and Statistics May 26-29 2011 Denizli, Turkey

Guloglu B. “Exports and Volatility of Exchange Rate Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes:The Case of Turkey” Proc. The International Conference on Policy Modeling, EcoMod, July 2- 4 2008 Berlin.

İvrendi, M., B. Güloğlu, “Monetary Policy and Stock Market Volatility”, Proc. Third International Conference On Business, Management and Economics, İzmir, Vol. 1, 153-168, 2007.

Güloğlu, B., M. İvrendi, “The Effects Of Monetary Policy Shocks On Exchange Rate: A Structural Vecm With Long-Run Restrictions,” Proc. International Conference on Economics, Turkish Economic Association, Ankara, 1-17 Mayıs, 2006.

İvrendi, M., B.Güloğlu, “Stock Market And Its Fair Value: Identificatıon Of Permanent And Transitory Components With SVAR”, Proc. Second International Conference On Business, Management and Economics, İzmir Vol. 2, 223-237, 2006.

Erdal, F., B.Guloglu, “Modelling Real Exchange Rate Behaviour with the Taylor Rule: An Empirical Analysis”, Proc. The International Conference on Policy Modeling, EcoMod, İstanbul, 1-12, 2005.

Atan H.Z, Aydemir R., Güloğlu B . The Impact of the Global Shocks on Islamic and Conventional Banks: A Comparative Analysis Using Multivariate Regression Quantiles, Internatıonal Congress Of Islamic Economy, Finance And Ethics, April, 7 - 8, 2018 , Istanbul

Aydemir R., Atan H.Z, Güloğlu B .How do Islamic banks differ from conventional banks in terms of their resilience to financial shocks given bank specific factors? , Internatıonal Congress Of Islamic Economy, Finance And Ethics, April, 7 - 8, 2018 ,Istanbul

Güloğlu H., Güloğlu B., Güven M A Panel Data Convergence Analysıs of OIC Members And G7 Countries Internatıonal Congress Of Islamic Economy, Finance And Ethics, April, 7 - 8, 2018 ,
Istanbul

Güloğlu B., Kaya P. Financial Contagion In Emerging Markets: Evidence From Turkey, ınternational Congress of Management, Economy and Policy, April 28,29 Istanbul

Karagülle Y.E., Güloğlu B., Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Prices With Machine Learning And Time Series Techniques, Internat ional Congress of Energy, Economy and Security, April 21-22,2018, Istanbul

Güloğlu H., Sarıdoğan E., Güloğlu B., Türkiye’de Katılım Ve Geleneksel Bankaların Risk Yönetimi Açısından Karşılaştırılması Kantil Var Yaklaşımı, International Congress of Islamic Economy, Finance and Ethics,28-29 Ekim 2017, İstanbul.

Kaya P., Guloglu B., Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility Dynamics of Commodity Markets: Value at Risk Forecasting International Congress Management Economy and Policy, İstanbul, 17-18 November 2017

Guloglu B., Erdal F., Kaya P., Guloglu H. VaR Spillovers between Turkish Stock Market and The Selected Emerging and Developed Stock Markets International Symposium on Econometrics Operations Research and Statistics,05 - 07 October 2017, Trabzon

Kaya P., Guloglu B., Analyses of Risk Spillovers, Financial Contagion, Flight to Quality and Flight from the Quality among the Stock Exchange Markets of Turkey and the Developed and the Developing Countries by the Recent Developments in the Tail Dependence Measurement,, 21st International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development, Belgrade,18-19 Mayıs 2017

Güven M., Güloğlu B., Erdal F A Spatial Econometrics Analysis of Regional Disparities in Turkey, 3rd International Meeting of Sosyoekonomi Society,April, 28-29, 2017, Ankara.

Akıl H.İ., Güloğlu B, Güven M., Erdal F., An Analysis of Echange Rate Voaltility on Sectoral Turkish Exports by Panel Quantile Regression, V.Anadolu International Conference in Economics, Mays, 11-13 Eskisehir,

Güloğlu H., Sarıdoğan E., Güloğlu B., Sensitivity of Islamic and Conventional Banks to Financial Risk Shocks: Evidence From Turkish Banks, September 21-23,2017, Istanbul

Kaya P. Guloglu B (2016) Financial contagion and flight to quality among the stock exchange markets of Turkey and the developed and the developing countries, 2th International conference on Applied Economics and Finance, 5-6 December 2016, Girne.

Guloglu B. Erdal F. Guven M, Akdeniz M. “Regional Consumption Disparities in Turkey” 19th EBES conference May 26-28, 2016

Guler S, Yayla N, Güloğlu B. “ Estimation of Hedonic House Pricing Model through NonParametric Methods:Istanbul Real Estate Market, European Real Estate Society 22nd annual conference June 2015 Taşkışla İstanbul.

Aydemir R. Guloglu B. and Saridogan E. " Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations Between Emerging Economies in Foreign Exchange and Bond Markets", 4th Economics and Finance Conference, August 2015, London, UK

Aydemir R. Guloglu B. and Saridogan E. "Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations Between Emerging Economies in Foreign Exchange and Bond Markets", World Finance Conference, July 2015, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Aydemir R. Aysan F. and Guloglu B. "How Do Banks Determine Their Spreads under Credit and Liquidity Risks during Business Cycles", Ozyegin University, May 2015

Aydemir R. Guloglu B. and Saridogan E. “Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Interactions Between Exchange Rates and Interest Rates in the Fragile Five”, ASSA Meetings (MEEA), January 2015, Boston, USA

Güloğlu B, Erdal F , Güven M, “Testing for Income Convergence Across Turkish Regions :Evidence from Recent Spatial Panel Data Methods” XVIth International Symposium on Econometrics, Operations Research and Statistics 7-12 May 2015, Edirne

Aydemir R, Güloğlu B, Sarıdoğan E. “Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations Between Emerging Economies in Foreign Exchange and Bond Markets”, , ASSA Meetings (MEEA), 3-6 January 2015, Boston, USA

Uygur E, Güloğlu B. “International Conference on Economics “Global Stability and Growth and State of Economics, 18-20 October 2014, Antalya

Aydemir R, Güloğlu B, Sarıdoğan E “Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Interactions Between Stock Markets and Bond Markets in the PIIGS Countries” , 14th EBES Conference, October 2014, Barcelona, Spain

Aydemir R, Güloğlu B, Sarıdoğan E. “Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Interactions Between Exchange Rates and Interest Rates in the Fragile Five”, , International Econometrics Conference,21 June 2014, Istanbul, Turkey

Guloglu B. And Erdal F, “Spatial Analysis of Regional Consumption Disparities in Turkey, The VIII World Conference of the Spatial Econometrics Association ETH Zurich, Switzerland 11 - 13 June 2014
Aydemir R

Guloglu B, Sarıdoğan E, Volatility Spillovers and Dynamic Interactions between exchange rates and interest rates in the fragile five”, International Econometrics Conference - Center for Economics and Econometrics, Bogazici University 21 June 2014

Ivrendi M., Guloglu B., Balcılar M “A Neoclassical Approach to the Determinants of Real Wages across Countries “ International Conference on Business Economics and Finance, May 11-13 ,2013,Famagusta, North Cyprus

Guloglu B, Bera A.K. “Specification Testing for Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects “The VII World Conference of the Spatial Econometrics Association, July 10-12, 2013 Washington D.C, USA

Güloğlu B, Sarıdoğan E. “ An Econometric Analysis of the Sources of Economic Growth : Selected MENA Countries ” 14th International Conference on Econometrics, Operations Research and Statistics, May 24-28 2013 , Sarajevo

Güloğlu B, Kangallı S.G. “Carbon Dioxide Emission Energy Use And Economic Growth Nexus:Evidence From Dynamic Panel Quantile Regressions” 13th International Conference on Econometrics, Operations Research and Statistics, May 24-26 2012 Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.

Güloğlu B. Kangallı S.G “Sabit Etkili Dinamik Panel Kantil Regresyon Modeli:Finansal Oranlar ile Hisse Senedi Getirilerinin Öngörülebilirliği 13.Uluslararası Ekonometri, Yöneylem Araştırması ve İstatistik Konferansı, 24-26 Mayıs 2012 ,KKTC.

İspir S.M. Nazlioglu Ş. Güloğlu B. “Yapısal Kırılma ve Kesitler Arası Bağımlılık Varsayımları Altında Türkiye’de Satın Alma Gücü Paritesinin Geçerliliği, 13.Uluslararası Ekonometri, Yöneylem Araştırması ve İstatistik Konferansı, 24-26 Mayıs 2012 ,KKTC.

Balcılar M., Ivrendi M., Güloğlu B., İspir S., “An Indivudual Specific Panel Threshold Autoregressive Unit Root Test” 12th International Symposium on Econometrics Operations Research and Statistics May 26-29 2011 Denizli, Turkey

Görmüş Ş., Güloğlu B., Güneş B. “Determinant of Stock Market Returns Correlation: An Extented Gravity Model Approach” 12th International Symposium on Econometrics Operations Research and Statistics May 26-29 2011 Denizli, Turkey

Uygur E. Ivrendi M. Güloğlu B. “Where Does Inflation Targeting Stand?” International Economic Association 16th World Economic Congress, July 4-8 2011, Beijing, China Kar M., Guloglu B, Nazlioglu S., Agir H. "Financial Development and Poverty Reduction in the Mena Countries: Panel Data Analysis". Economics of the Mediterranean and the Euromediterranian Process, July 16 - 17, 2010, Barcelona.

Aygören H., Yeşilyurt E.H., Güloğlu B., Küçükkaplan İ. “The Relationship Between Stock Performance and the Efficieny in Banking Industry”, 18th Annual Meeting of the Multionational Finance Society , June 26-29 2011 Rome Italy.

Guloglu,B. Tekin B., Saridogan E., An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship among the R&D, Innovation and Economic Growth in High-Income OECD Countries EBES 2010 Conference, 28-30 May 2010 İstanbul

Yeşilyurt E., Güloğlu B., Yeşilyurt Filiz, Sezgin S. “Determinants of Defence Production :Panel Data Analysis” June 17-18 2010 ,İzmir, Turkey

Güloğlu B., Yeşilyurt E., Yeşilyurt Filiz, Sezgin S. “Stability of Long Run Military Expenditures: Evidence from Panel Cointegration Tests with Multiple Breaks” June 17- 18 2010 ,İzmir, Turkey

International Books Chapters

Kumar B. A., Doğan O, Güloğlu B, “The delta method and estimating equation Approach for determining the asymptotic Distributions of test statistics” in Reseach and Evaluations in Social, Administrative and Educational Sciences, İksad yayınevi,pp.201-226, 2021

Kumar B. A., Doğan O, Güloğlu B, "Testing Spatial Dependence in a Matrix Exponentıal Spatial specification” in Current Researchs in Archıtecture and Engineering Sciences, İksad yayınevi, pp.79-95, 2020

Güloğlu B., Sarıdoğan E. (2013) “An Econometric Analysis of Sources of Economic Growth for Selected MENA Countries under the Global and Regional Turmoil” in Economic and Social Issues in the Middle East and North African Countries Edited by Nilgun Çil Yavuz, Nova Publishers, New York, 2013

Kar M., Guloglu B., Nazlioglu S., Agir H “Poverty reduction in the MENA countries”, IN Europe and the Mediterranean Economy Edited by Joan Costa-Font Routledge ,July 2012.

National Research Papers

Güloğlu, B. and Akman A. (2007). “Analysis of Turkish Exchange Rate Volatility with Switching ARCH technique. Finans Politik & Ekonomik yorumlar Dergisi, 512, 43-51

Özgen, F.B. and Güloğlu B. (2004) “The Analysis of Turkish Domestic debt with VAR technique“. METU Studies in Development ,31(1), 93-114

National Books Chapters

Güloğlu B., İspir S., Seymen D., “Türkiye’de Cari Açıkların Sürdürülebilirliğini Etkileyen Temel Makroekonomik Göstergeler(Main Macroeconomic Determinants of Turkish Current Account Sustainability), in Küresel Kriz Çerçevesinde Türkiye’nin Cari Açık Sorunsalı , (The Turkish Current Account Puzzle in the face of global crisis (Editors: Subaşat T, Yetkiner H.) Publisher:,Efil Yayınevi February 2010.

Refereeing(Selected)

Applied Economics ,Economic Modeling, Energy Policy, Finance Research Letter, Applied Economics Letter, International Econometric Review, Business and Economic Research Journal, Eurasian Economic Review, Ege Academic Review, Hacettepe University Journal of Economics and Administrative Science, Ekonomi TEK, Journal of European Real Estate Research, Global Business and Economics Review, Ekonometri ve İstatistik, Physica, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Emerging Markets Review.


Research Grants

Stress Testing the Participation and Conventional Banks in Turkey: Semi-parametric Time Series and Panel Data Quantile Regression Approaches, Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey Grant No: 218K241

Analyses of Risk Spillovers, Financial Contagion, Flight to Quality and Flight from the Quality Among the Stock Exchange Markets of Turkey and the Developed and the Developing Countries by the Recent Developments in the Tail Dependence Measurement, Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey Grant No:116K236

Volatility Spillovers And Volatility Impulse Response Functions In Exchange Rates And Interest Rates And Their Effects On Non-Performing Loans, Grant Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey, No:114K519, 

Determinants Of Regional Income And Consumption Disparities And A Spatial Analysis Of Convergence, Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey, Grant No: 114K486